This hand takes place in a £33 Bounty Hunter on SkyPoker.
I’m divided on this one. Part of me thinks I played this fine. Another part of me says if he has it I should just go broke.
We are very early in the tournament. I defend my BB with KQo, which is a standard defend 6 handed.
The flop gives me a pair and some backdoor draws so I call the continuation bet.
The turn brings in my two pair. I still don’t think this is strong enough to lead out. J10 got there, plus if I lead the turn and get raised I think I’m doing poor against an UTG range. I check and call the bet to reassess the river and keep the pot manageable.
The river is where it gets interesting.
The King completes my Full House and I lead to get value from Ax hands, KJ/K10 and J10 and a variety of others.
Then he jams All-in and puts me in a world of pain.
He has shown decent strength across all 3 streets so theres no reason to believe he can’t have hands like AA and AK. However there is also a couple of hands he can have which he potentially is overvaluing like QQ, 44 and maybe KJ/K10.
My notes seem to suggest he’s not liable to shove with a bluff, so although the shove is polarising its definitely very heavily weighted to value. The question is whether or not I beat his possible value range as stated above. I do think perhaps he only raises the hands I beat instead of shoving, but thats a guess at best.
Think I need someone who’s better at maths than me to work this out. It’s got me scratching my head.
Just don’t know.